Prof. David Alan Rhoades, 

ASC First Vice President 2000-2004

Born:  2 March 1949 in Welligton, New Zealand.

Education:

• B.Sc.(Hons) 1st Class in Mathematics, Victoria University of Wellington (1971)

• M.S. in Mathemathics, University of Minnesota (1974)

• PhD in Mathematics, University of Minnesota (1976)

Professional Employment:

• Geophysical Statistician, Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences, Lower Hutt (1996-2002)

• Senior Research Manager, Industrial Research Limited, Lower Hutt (1992-1996)

• Scientist, Statistics, DSIR Applied Mathematics, Wellington (1976-1992)

• Assistant Lecturer in Statistics, University of Auckland (1976)

Research Interests:

• Development and testing of long-range earthquake forecasting methods based on seismicity patterns, including the precursory scale increase and its special cases, the precursory earthquake swarm and quarm. 

• Handling of uncertainties and other statistical aspects of earthquake hazard modelling.

• Statistical analysis of damage to property in major earthquakes.

Selected Publications:       

Rhoades, D.A., and F.F.Evison (1979). Long-range earthquake forecasting based on a single predictor. Geophys. J. R. astr. Soc. 59, 43-56.

Rhoades, D.A., and F.F.Evison (1989). Time variable factors in earthquake hazard, Tectonophysics 167, 201-210.

D.A.Rhoades (1989). Independence, precursors and earthquake hazard. Tectonophysics, 169, 199-206. 

Dowrick, D.J., and D.A Rhoades (1993). Damage costs for commercial and industrial property as a function of intensity in the 1987 Edgecumbe earthquake, Earthq. Eng. Struct. Dynam., 22, 869-884.

Rhoades, D.A., and F.F. Evison (1993). Long-range earthquake forecasting based on a single predictor with clustering, Geophys. J. Int., 113, 371-381.

Evison, F.F., and D.A. Rhoades (1993). The precursory earthquake swarm in New Zealand: hypothesis tests. N.Z. J. Geol. Geophys., 36, 51-60.

Rhoades, D.A., R.J. Van Dissen and D.J. Dowrick (1994). On the handling of uncertainties in estimating the hazard of rupture on a fault segment, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 13701-13712.

Rhoades, D.A., (1996). Estimation of the Gutenberg-Richter relation allowing for individual earthquake magnitude uncertainties. Tectonophysics, 258, 71-83.

Rhoades, D.A., (1997). Estimation of attenuation relations for strong-motion data allowing for individual earthquake magnitude uncertainties. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 87, 1674-1678.

Evison, F.F., and D.A. Rhoades (1997). The precursory earthquake swarm in New Zealand: hypothesis tests II, N.Z. J. Geol. Geophys., 40, 537-547.

Evison, F.F., and D.A. Rhoades (1998). Long-term seismogenic process for major earthquakes in subduction zones. Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 108, 185-199.

Rhoades, D.A., and D.J. Dowrick (1999). Variability of damage ratios for property in earthquakes. Earthquake Spectra, 15, 297-316.

Evison, F.F., and D.A. Rhoades (1999). The precursory earthquake swarm and the inferred precursory quarm. N.Z. J. Geol. Geophys., 42, 229-236.

Evison, F.F., and D.A. Rhoades (1999). The precursory earthquake swarm in Japan: hypothesis tests, Earth Planets Space, 51, 1267-1277.

Dowrick, D.J. and D.A. Rhoades (1999). Attenuation of Modified Mercalli intensity in New Zealand earthquakes, Bull. N.Z. Soc. Earthq. Eng., 32, 55-89.

Evison, F., and D. Rhoades (2000). The precursory earthquake swarm in Greece, Annali di Geofisica, 43, 991-1009.

Evison, F.,  and D. Rhoades (2001). Model of long-term seismogenesis, Annali di Geofisica, 44, 81-93.

Rhoades, D.A. and G H McVerry (2001). Joint hazard of earthquake shaking at two or more locations,  Earthquake Spectra, 17(4), 697-710.

Address:

Institute of Geological&Nuclear Sciences Ltd.,

Gracefield Research Centre

69 Gracefield Road

P.O.Box 30-368, Lower Hutt

New Zealand

Fax: 4-5690600

E-mail: d.rhoades@gns.cri.nz

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Last modified: Monday February 06, 2006